Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1735.235374 1894.248847 2056.040632 2232.695815 2419.864745 2611.985869 2823.812972
2025-03-16 1453.498828 1685.988221 1932.383394 2211.830368 2518.822798 2844.694452 3215.633279
2025-03-23 1321.462142 1601.419928 1906.841019 2262.448810 2662.755785 3097.170062 3601.918943
2025-03-30 1200.588928 1512.030508 1860.456723 2275.304246 2751.904780 3278.570794 3900.739032
2025-04-06 1096.611118 1430.676681 1813.039794 2277.444134 2820.580927 3430.233975 4160.683894
2025-04-13 969.157659 1311.159331 1711.811367 2208.220899 2799.088716 3472.484403 4290.336365
2025-04-20 932.614905 1297.542867 1732.709209 2280.021576 2940.034907 3700.673322 4633.635975
2025-04-27 883.830287 1264.662162 1726.878266 2316.820750 3037.305827 3876.583827 4915.717298
2025-05-04 821.993409 1210.968591 1691.728280 2314.578231 3084.994697 3992.066655 5125.605758
2025-05-11 759.975517 1153.011926 1647.703169 2298.125628 3112.701347 4081.713164 5303.480889
2025-05-18 717.583843 1118.130865 1630.590241 2313.264110 3177.619894 4215.141185 5533.402687
2025-05-25 668.662831 1071.495735 1595.735173 2303.584737 3209.844752 4307.599339 5713.217025
2025-06-01 639.766137 1051.445555 1595.436968 2338.781750 3299.821560 4473.179277 5985.683076
2025-06-08 590.986053 1000.934701 1552.481131 2316.717695 3315.968347 4547.091749 6146.187892
2025-06-15 573.376800 993.584895 1566.669470 2369.045354 3426.947936 4739.041877 6452.811433
2025-06-22 543.394404 966.468585 1552.388942 2382.326469 3486.737055 4866.605848 6679.920170
2025-06-29 511.885445 935.246820 1530.864088 2384.537356 3531.146155 4974.276835 6882.242382
2025-07-06 459.072576 868.776650 1457.051376 2313.008733 3476.310867 4954.007839 6922.513386
2025-07-13 454.854937 876.840512 1489.219465 2387.200235 3614.987617 5181.915423 7277.286898
2025-07-20 440.100321 867.473015 1495.602688 2425.216184 3705.318924 5348.018005 7554.564720
2025-07-27 414.659654 839.641682 1473.877940 2422.899678 3740.756308 5442.870913 7741.235680
2025-08-03 386.837581 806.326090 1442.652171 2405.903616 3755.336956 5509.994565 7892.191952
2025-08-10 369.411136 789.193293 1434.776332 2421.542191 3814.025012 5634.714553 8117.575207